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Brokers Betting Against Stablecoins Risk Losing Settlement Dominance

Brokers risk losing settlement dominance as $300B+ stablecoins speed settlements, cut costs, and reshape reserves. Who wins the new rails?

brokers risking settlement dominance

While traditional brokers cling to old payment rails, a quiet revolution in settlement technology is leaving them behind. Stablecoins have surged to a $300 billion market in early 2025, jumping 75% in just one year. Experts predict this market could balloon past $2 trillion by 2028 and potentially hit $4 trillion by 2030. Brokers who ignore this shift risk losing their grip on settlement dominance.

Stablecoins jumped 75% to $300 billion in 2025, with projections reaching $4 trillion by 2030 as traditional brokers face obsolescence.

The numbers tell a compelling story. Tether’s USDT reached $184 billion in circulation by late 2025, while Circle’s USDC hit $75 billion. These digital dollars are settling trillions in transactions with near-instant speed, operating around the clock every day of the year. Traditional systems simply cannot match this pace. Cross-border payments that once took days now complete in seconds, and remittance costs have plummeted from 6.5% to nearly zero. Smart contracts and decentralized settlement rails are also streamlining post-trade processes, reducing manual reconciliation through automated verification.

Big players are taking notice. Stripe spent $1.1 billion acquiring Bridge in early 2025, signaling serious institutional confidence. Visa now uses USDC for US settlement, while PayPal integrated its PYUSD stablecoin into merchant services. Even retail giants like Amazon and Walmart are exploring stablecoins to slash interchange fees. Western Union, facing potential disruption, is considering launching its own digital currency.

The settlement advantages are hard to ignore. Stablecoins bypass expensive correspondent banking networks and SWIFT systems entirely. They enable faster clearing and balance reconciliation than legacy infrastructure. Think of it like comparing email to postal mail—both deliver messages, but one arrives instantly while the other takes days.

Regulatory clarity is accelerating adoption. The US and EU are advancing frameworks that make stablecoins enterprise-ready. The IMF now treats stablecoin growth as part of the existing financial order rather than a threat. This legitimacy attracts more institutional participation. The GENIUS Act requires monthly public disclosure of reserves and backing by liquid assets for payment stablecoins. MiCAR’s threshold for systemic importance is set at $5 billion, significantly lower than equivalent bank scrutiny thresholds.

Ironically, stablecoins are boosting demand for US Treasurys. Tether ranks as the 17th largest treasury holder globally, with USDC allocating 75% of reserves to short-term government debt. Brokers betting against this technology face efficiency losses as settlement speeds and costs improve. The message is clear: adapt or risk obsolescence.

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