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Khan: Are We Entering a New Era of Mass Unemployment?

Global unemployment hides a crisis: billions trapped in informal, low‑paid work. Is mass unemployment the real threat? Read on.

mass unemployment from automation

The world of work is shifting beneath our feet, and the changes might not be what many people expect. At first glance, global unemployment appears remarkably steady, hovering at 4.9% throughout 2025 and projected to remain unchanged in 2026. That represents roughly 186 million people worldwide without jobs. The numbers suggest stability, but dig a little deeper and a more complicated picture emerges.

Stable unemployment numbers mask a deeper reality: the quality of work itself is collapsing for billions worldwide.

The real concern isn’t mass unemployment in the traditional sense. Instead, it’s the quality and nature of work that’s deteriorating for billions of people. Approximately 2.1 billion workers are projected to labor in the informal sector in 2026, meaning they lack social protection, labor rights, and job security. Around 284 million workers earn less than three dollars per day, trapped in extreme poverty despite working full-time. These aren’t small problems affecting distant places. Informal employment dominates labor markets globally, particularly in low-income countries where the situation continues worsening. Preparing a financial foundation, including an emergency fund and prioritizing quality income sources, can help vulnerable workers cope with such instability and income shocks, especially when facing informal employment and low pay emergency fund.

Young people face especially intimidating challenges. In low-income countries, 27.9% of youth are neither in education, employment, nor training. Urban youth unemployment in China reached 17.8% in mid-2025, showing that even major economies struggle with this issue. Without decent job opportunities, young workers remain locked out of pathways toward stable careers. Even educated youth in high-income countries face uncertainty from AI and automation.

Meanwhile, labor markets in developed countries face different pressures. Stricter immigration policies and aging populations are shrinking the available workforce. The hiring rate in November 2025 dropped to its lowest level since 2012, excluding pandemic months. Businesses seem hesitant to expand their payrolls amid economic uncertainty, creating sluggish employment growth even when jobs technically exist. Central banks have kept the rate for five-year loans unchanged at 3.5%, maintaining a stable lending environment.

Perhaps the question isn’t whether we’re entering an era of mass unemployment but rather whether we’re entering an era of mass underemployment and informal work. The unemployment rate might look acceptable on paper, but millions worldwide lack stable, protected, decently paid jobs. The labor market appears resilient by traditional measures, yet beneath that surface, fundamental shifts are leaving workers increasingly vulnerable and insecure.

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